Louisiana Tech vs Troy CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Louisiana Tech at Troy. 2026-11-07 21:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #44. Line unavailable.
Louisiana Tech playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 86.9% | 95.0% | 78.2% |
Troy playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 2.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- LSU: 1.3% outcome swing; Louisiana Tech wins
- Boise State: 0.6% outcome swing; Troy wins
- Tennessee: 0.4% outcome swing; Louisiana Tech wins
- Wake Forest: 0.3% outcome swing; Troy wins
- Georgia: 0.2% outcome swing; Troy wins
Impacts if Louisiana Tech wins
- LSU: 0.4% change; Louisiana Tech wins
- Tennessee: 0.3% change; Louisiana Tech wins
- Boise State: -0.2% change; Troy wins
- Indiana: -0.2% change; Troy wins
- Alabama: 0.1% change; Either outcome
Impacts if Troy wins
- LSU: -0.9% change; Louisiana Tech wins
- Boise State: 0.4% change; Troy wins
- Georgia: 0.2% change; Troy wins
- New Mexico: -0.2% change; Louisiana Tech wins
- UTSA: -0.2% change; Louisiana Tech wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Louisiana Tech wins | Troy wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 49.5% | 48.2% | 1.3% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 56.8% | 56.6% | 57.2% | 0.6% | Troy wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 26.2% | 26.5% | 26.1% | 0.4% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 45.2% | 45.5% | 0.3% | Troy wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 84.9% | 84.9% | 85.1% | 0.2% | Troy wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 88.7% | 88.9% | 0.2% | Troy wins |
| Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 0.2% | Troy wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 18.1% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 0.2% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 87.7% | 87.6% | 87.8% | 0.2% | Troy wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 0.2% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Florida | SEC | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.1% | 37.1% | 37.2% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Memphis | American Athletic | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | Louisiana Tech wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 69.8% | 69.7% | 69.8% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 50.4% | 50.3% | 50.4% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 0.1% | Louisiana Tech wins |