Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 11 pregame analysis for Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech. 2026-11-14 22:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #63. Line unavailable.

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Southern Miss playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.2%1.0%0.0%

Louisiana Tech playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.2%0.3%0.0%
Automatic bid0.2%0.3%0.0%
Conference title game99.2%100.0%93.5%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. LSU: 1.0% outcome swing; Louisiana Tech wins
  2. Oregon: 0.3% outcome swing; Southern Miss wins
  3. Indiana: 0.2% outcome swing; Southern Miss wins
  4. Iowa: 0.2% outcome swing; Southern Miss wins
  5. Texas: 0.2% outcome swing; Southern Miss wins

Impacts if Southern Miss wins

  1. LSU: -1.0% change; Louisiana Tech wins
  2. Oregon: 0.3% change; Southern Miss wins
  3. Indiana: 0.2% change; Southern Miss wins
  4. Iowa: 0.2% change; Southern Miss wins
  5. Texas: 0.2% change; Southern Miss wins

Impacts if Louisiana Tech wins

  1. New Mexico: -0.1% change; Southern Miss wins
  2. Air Force: 0.0% change; Either outcome
  3. Akron: 0.0% change; Either outcome
  4. Alabama: 0.0% change; Either outcome
  5. App State: 0.0% change; Either outcome

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentSouthern Miss winsLouisiana Tech winsSwingBetter outcome
LSUSEC18.7%17.7%18.7%1.0%Louisiana Tech wins
Louisiana TechSun Belt0.2%0.0%0.3%0.3%Louisiana Tech wins
OregonBig Ten28.3%28.6%28.3%0.3%Southern Miss wins
IndianaBig Ten82.0%82.2%82.0%0.2%Southern Miss wins
IowaBig Ten24.7%24.9%24.7%0.2%Southern Miss wins
TexasSEC73.4%73.6%73.4%0.2%Southern Miss wins
ArizonaBig 1217.3%17.4%17.3%0.1%Southern Miss wins
BYUBig 1242.3%42.2%42.3%0.1%Louisiana Tech wins
HoustonBig 1245.3%45.4%45.3%0.1%Southern Miss wins
LibertyConference USA3.2%3.3%3.2%0.1%Southern Miss wins
New MexicoMountain West27.9%27.9%27.8%0.1%Southern Miss wins
ToledoMid-American0.0%0.1%0.0%0.1%Southern Miss wins
Wake ForestACC45.8%45.9%45.8%0.1%Southern Miss wins
Air ForceMountain West0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
AkronMid-American0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
AlabamaSEC96.6%96.6%96.6%0.0%Either outcome
App StateSun Belt0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
Arizona StateBig 120.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
ArkansasSEC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
Arkansas StateSun Belt0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome