Troy vs South Alabama CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 11 pregame analysis for Troy at South Alabama. 2026-11-15 00:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #60. Line unavailable.
Troy playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
South Alabama playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- New Mexico: 0.2% outcome swing; South Alabama wins
- Tennessee: 0.2% outcome swing; South Alabama wins
- Texas: 0.2% outcome swing; Troy wins
- Arizona: 0.1% outcome swing; Troy wins
- Boise State: 0.1% outcome swing; Troy wins
Impacts if Troy wins
- New Mexico: -0.2% change; South Alabama wins
- Tennessee: -0.2% change; South Alabama wins
- Texas: 0.2% change; Troy wins
- Arizona: 0.1% change; Troy wins
- Boise State: 0.1% change; Troy wins
Impacts if South Alabama wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Troy wins | South Alabama wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 27.9% | 27.7% | 27.9% | 0.2% | South Alabama wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 53.9% | 53.7% | 53.9% | 0.2% | South Alabama wins |
| Texas | SEC | 73.4% | 73.6% | 73.4% | 0.2% | Troy wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 17.3% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 66.4% | 66.5% | 66.4% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 45.3% | 45.4% | 45.3% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 24.7% | 24.8% | 24.7% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 13.4% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 0.1% | South Alabama wins |
| Liberty | Conference USA | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 21.3% | 21.4% | 21.3% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| South Carolina | SEC | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 0.1% | South Alabama wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 34.9% | 35.0% | 34.9% | 0.1% | Troy wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.8% | 45.7% | 45.8% | 0.1% | South Alabama wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Akron | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Alabama | SEC | 96.6% | 96.6% | 96.6% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| App State | Sun Belt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Arizona State | Big 12 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |